地震活动性总体参量Rt在东南沿海地震带西段地震预测中的应用     

史水平  李细光  李柳英 《华南地震》2007,27(4):41-47

分析了1974年以来东南沿海地震带西段发生的MS≥4.9级地震前地震活动性总体状态参量Rt的变化特点,同时对Rt值在东南沿海地震带西段的地震预测效能进行了检验评估。结果表明,当Rt>0.82时,表明东南沿海地震带西段地震活动状态比较正常,发生4.9级以上地震的概率较低;反之,当Rt≤0.82时,则表明东南沿海地震带西段地震活动比较活跃,发生4.9级以上地震的概率较大。  相似文献   

周至井水位气压效率和相关系数在中强地震前的变化特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王新  赵小茂  张国强  杨旭升 《华南地震》2007,27(4):61-66

计算了2002～2004年周至井水位的气压效率和相关系数,初步分析了其与地震的关系,认为在2002年甘肃玉门5.9级地震、2003年和2004年甘肃岷县5.2、5.0级地震前,该井水位的气压效率和相关系数同时出现了明显的短临前兆异常。  相似文献   

Experimental study of the woody debris trapping efficiency of a steel pipe,open sabo dam     

《国际泥沙研究》2020,35(5):431-443

In recent years, the damage caused to human settlements in Japan by large woody debris (LWD) has been increasing. For example, the 2013 Izu Oshima typhoon resulted in a large number of fatalities and missing persons, and the Kagoshima Typhoon Disaster and Northern Kyusyu torrential downpour caused vast infrastructure damage due to the associated LWD. Current countermeasures for preventing LWD are insufficient to maintain the safety of residential areas. One type of protective barrier, the open sabo dam, has been constructed in Japan during the past 30 years. The primary function of open sabo dams is to block the flow of boulders, thereby also reducing sediment flow by reducing the gap size. However, because Japanese open sabo dams are designed specifically for boulder-trapping, the ability of these dams to trap LWD remains uncertain. In particular, many problems have been reported with respect to sediment trapping by driftwood with roots in an open sabo dam setting. The objective of this study was to examine the trapping efficiency of open sabo dams for LWD and sediment. The experimental approach clarified the influence of driftwood, without and with roots, on sediment trapping for a straight-channel flume. The flexible roots of the driftwood were shown to have a significant effect on the sediment trapping efficiency of the dam.  相似文献   

岩溶断陷盆地不同海拔植物水分利用效率分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

梁锦桃  邓艳  李旭尧  徐烨  曹建华 《中国岩溶》2020,39(2):180-188

为探讨不同海拔高度的养分、环境要素与植物水分利用效率变化的关系，以岩溶断陷盆地云南小江流域的乔木、灌木、草本为研究对象，分析水分利用效率和叶片养分浓度随海拔的变化情况。结果表明:（1）研究区内海拔2 000 m处的草本植物的叶片δ13C值最高，2 200 m处的乔木的叶片δ13C值最低；（2）海拔高度对乔木、灌木的植物水分利用效率影响大于草本植物，草本植物的水分利用效率随海拔高度的变化甚微，两者之间的拟合度较小；高值区出现在海拔为2 200 m处的乔木；低值区出现在海拔为2 000 m处的草本植物；（3）不同海拔水分利用效率与叶片N、P浓度的相关性较弱（与叶片的N浓度呈弱正相关，与叶片的P浓度呈弱负相关）；（4）不同海拔水分利用效率与各气候因子的相关性较弱，与多年平均气温、多年平均降雨量、多年平均日照时数均呈弱正相关。   相似文献   

可持续发展中的公平与效率问题   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

梁彤伟  李露亮 《地域研究与开发》1998,17(1):31-34

在传统增长方式中,公平与效率之间存在着巨大的冲突,由于可持续发展的出现,才第一次把两者纳入到可以相互补充、相互协调的框架之内,从而构成了整个社会得以生存与发展的必要张力。如何在公平的价值观念下效率,如何在有效的市场中保证公平,成为环境与发展问题相并列的当代经济理论、经济伦理思想以及可持续发展观的重要课题。  相似文献   

Sustainable development and mine management     

Carmine Nappi  Richard Poulin 《Natural Resources Research》1998,7(4):263-269

The sustainable development concept has generated a large body of literature. It has also divided economists into numerous schools of thought. The neoclassical, London, and other schools are painted in broad strokes in the first part of this paper. They debate the extent to which manufactured capital and “natural” capital are believed to be substitutes or complements in a macroeconomics context. The problem stems from the difficulty to measure “natural” capital. The second part of the paper looks at sustainable development in mining at the firm level. First, it is argued that the capital value of the mineral reserves can be maintained by discovering reserves or by saving part of the rent. Second, we show that mine manager actions can be induced to follow efficiency and equity principles when proper limits or constraints are imposed by the legislator. It is concluded that a set of indicators need to be defined and calibrated to ensure that the economic, environmental, and social limits imposed on the mine manager become a framework inside which he competes for the best interest of the firm.  相似文献   

统一分布下的LP估计抗差测度     

周世健  陈永奇 《华东地质学院学报》1998,21(3):258-264

本文根据定位参数Ｍ估计理论,导出了ＬＰ估计的影响函数,分析了ＬＰ估计的抗差能力,同时还推导了ＬＰ估计的渐近效率,综合抗差能力和效率,分析了ＬＰ估计的优劣性,明确指出,用现测数据中含有粗差扰动的数据和Ｐ为（１,１．２５）的ＬＰ估计进行处理,结果较优,效率较高。  相似文献   

Kinetic shear resistance,fluid pressures and radiation efficiency during seismic faulting   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Richard H. Sibson 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1977,115(1-2):387-400

Summary During earthquake faulting, radiation efficiency and the degree stress relief are critically dependent on the kinetic shear resistance. This is often assumed to stay constant during slip, but geological evidence suggests that for moderate or large shallow earthquakes it may decrease dramatically to near-zero values once slip is initiated, either by melt formation or by transient increases in fluid pressure on the fault plane. The latter, probably more common process may arise partly through an interaction between temperature and water pressure, and partly through dilatancy recovery as shear stress is relieved. If the fault remains undrained, stress relief should be absolute with seismic efficiency reaching high values, so that stress drops give a measure of the level of tectonic shear stress in fault zones. Supporting evidence comes from the observation that apparent stress is generally about half the stress drop.  相似文献   

Spatial energy efficiency patterns and the coupling relationship with industrial structure:A study on Liaoning Province,China   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

Wei GUAN  Shuting XU 《地理学报(英文版)》2015,25(3):355-368

Using a sample of 14 prefecture-level cities in Liaoning Province, this study first explored the spatial hierarchy and structural characteristics of energy efficiency from the following three viewpoints: energy technical efficiency based on data envelopment analysis, energy consumption per unit of GDP, and energy utilization efficiency combining the previous two indexes. After measuring and analyzing the advancement, rationality, and concentration of the industrial structure in each city, we made some generalizations about the coupling features of the energy efficiency and industrial structure in Liaoning, using the coupling degree rating model. Some of our conclusions are as follows: (1) The 14 cities differ significantly in their energy efficiency, with Shenyang, Dalian, Anshan, and Jinzhou enjoying the highest energy efficiency. Northwestern Liaoning and other heavy-industrial cities such as Fushun and Benxi belong to low-efficiency and high-consumption areas. (2) In areas with higher efficiency, the spatial patterns of the energy technical efficiency, energy consumption per unit of GDP, and energy utilization efficiency are, respectively, "π"-,"Ⅱ"- and "H"- shaped. Geographically, the energy utilization efficiency shows different trends from east to west and from north to south. Factors such as the binuclear structure of economic development have a major effect on this spatial pattern of energy efficiency. (3) Southeastern Liaoning enjoys a highly advanced industrial structure. Areas with a highly rational industrial structure form an “H” shape, with Shenyang and Dalian at the two poles. The urban agglomerations in middle and southern Liaoning have a highly concentrated industrial structure. (4) Overall, the coupling between energy efficiency and industrial structure is low in Liaoning, except for Shenyang and Dalian at both ends, where the coupling between an advanced industrial structure and energy efficiency is higher than in other cities.  相似文献   

Sampling efficiency in Monte Carlo based uncertainty propagation strategies: Application in seawater intrusion simulations     

《Advances in water resources》2014

The implementation of Monte Carlo simulations (MCSs) for the propagation of uncertainty in real-world seawater intrusion (SWI) numerical models often becomes computationally prohibitive due to the large number of deterministic solves needed to achieve an acceptable level of accuracy. Previous studies have mostly relied on parallelization and grid computing to decrease the computational time of MCSs. However, another approach which has received less attention in the literature is to decrease the number of deterministic simulations by using more efficient sampling strategies. Sampling efficiency is a measure of the optimality of a sampling strategy. A more efficient sampling strategy requires fewer simulations and less computational time to reach a certain level of accuracy. The efficiency of a sampling strategy is highly related to its space-filling characteristics.This paper illustrates that the use of optimized Latin hypercube sampling (OLHS) strategies instead of the widely employed simple random sampling (SRS) and Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) strategies, can significantly improve sampling efficiency and hence decrease the simulation time of MCSs. Nine OLHS strategies are evaluated including: improved Latin hypercube sampling (IHS); optimum Latin hypercube (OLH) sampling; genetic optimum Latin hypercube (GOLH) sampling; three sampling strategies based on the enhanced stochastic evolutionary (ESE) algorithm namely φ_p-ESE which employs the φ_p space-filling criterion, CLD-ESE which utilizes the centered L₂-discrepancy (CLD) space-filling criterion, and SLD-ESE which uses the star L₂-discrepancy (SLD) space-filling criterion; and three sampling strategies based on the simulated annealing (SA) algorithm namely φ_p-SA which employs the φ_p criterion, CLD-SA which uses the CLD criterion, and SLD-SA which utilizes the SLD criterion. The study applies SRS, LHS and the nine OLHS strategies to MCSs of two synthetic test cases of SWI. The two test cases are the Henry problem and a two-dimensional radial representation of SWI in a circular island. The comparison demonstrates that the CLD-ESE strategy is the most efficient among the evaluated strategies. This paper also demonstrates how the space-filling characteristics of different OLHS designs change with variations in the input arguments of their optimization algorithms.  相似文献